It is wisdom well known to housewives through the ages — and investors will do well to heed it. Putting all your eggs in one basket is almost always folly and this is no different where investments are concerned.
Portfolio diversification is widely recognised as a vital technique for reducing risks that are part and parcel of investing. Indeed, it is probably the most important ingredient for reaching one’s long-term financial goals while keeping risk to a minimum. Financial markets are notoriously known for their vulnerability to swings but it is these very cycles that present profitable investment opportunities. Yet even the savviest investors are hard-pressed to predict these crests and valleys accurately all the time, much less pick winners and losers with absolute precision.
Maximise profit, minimise risk
Diversification recognises this limitation in our divination abilities and presents a realistic and practical approach to help the investor maximise his or her returns.
The basic concept is simple: Spread your money across a variety of financial instruments, industries and geographies, so that when a market shock occurs, you do not risk losing your entire wealth in one fell swoop. The reverse is also true: When markets are booming, casting your net wide increases the chance of owning the winners.
Underlying diversification is the fact that different assets do not react identically to a single event. For an investor, it is important that in any part of the market cycle, some assets do well so as to offset the weak performance of others. As an example, during the recent financial crisis, while most financial assets fell, gold defied gravity and proved a big winner for many investors.
More is not always better — watch for correlation risk
There are many ways of achieving diversification. For many, a diversified portfolio means owning a variety of stocks in different industries, geographies and currencies. But superior diversification is often achieved through spreading your investments across different asset classes as well.
The underlying aim is to own a combination of investments which are as uncorrelated with each other as possible. Simply owning a large number of different investments may not achieve the aims of diversification if the assets react largely in a similar manner to adverse events.
For example, if your portfolio consisted only of property equities, cooling measures by the government may cause the portfolio to drop in value. This could be mitigated if you also owned bank stocks. However, these too may be hit by the cooling measures as dampened demand for mortgages weakens bank lending business. To further diversify, you may want to include stocks in less related sectors such as manufacturing and technology.
Better yet, diversifying into another asset class, such as bonds, can further mitigate your portfolio’s sensitivity to market swings. Bonds and stocks, for instance, generally move in opposite directions. If your investments are balanced across both asset types, negative movements in one may be offset by positive results in the other.
Indeed, studies have shown that asset class choice matter more than individual security selection — about 70 per cent of a portfolio’s performance is derived from getting into the right asset class at the right time.
One size does not fit all — and not all the time
So how then should you determine the optimal blend of investments in your portfolio?
Taking a long-term view, first work out what your financial aims are, considering the time horizon and the level of risk and volatility that you are comfortable with.
By and large, a young investor may prefer a more aggressive portfolio that bears more risk as compared with a retiree who is more concerned about wealth preservation and maintaining a steady income.
Market circumstances must also be considered and as they change, so must your portfolio be reviewed and rebalanced. Consider engaging expert help from bankers and financial advisers, who, with access to more tools and up-to-date market information, can help you with a periodic review of the performance of your portfolio and make appropriate adjustments in asset allocations with a view to meeting your investment objectives.
This exercise is vital as changes in the market as well as individual circumstances can impact the outlook of your portfolio. Wealth managers have a formalised process to provide this service as part of their advisory offering.
One convenient way to achieve a diversified portfolio is to invest via unit trusts. Each fund is diversified across a multitude of securities within the fund’s investment theme. Some even offer exposure to different asset classes, such as a combination of stocks and bonds. For more sophisticated investors, specialised instruments such as hedge funds and exchange-traded funds, offer additional ways to diversify their investments.
As with diets and many things in life, balance is necessary for the health and longevity of your investment portfolio. Regardless of how attractive that “sure win” investment looks, too much of a good thing can turn a portfolio bad quite quickly. Instead, take advantage of the variety in the buffet of global assets and put together a plate that best suits your financial goals and risk appetite.
Shrikant Bhat is head of wealth management at Citibank Singapore Limited.